Monetary policy reaction function
The specification of the monetary policy reaction function ensures that the policy rate (𝒊𝒕) changes to a greater extent in response to a deviation of expected inflation from the target (𝝅𝟒𝒕+𝟒 − 𝝅𝒕𝒂𝒓t+4) and a lesser extent in response to the output gap (𝒚̂𝒕). However, interest rates do not change instantaneously, rather they are characterized by certain inertia, since the monetary policy should be consistent and the risks to macroeconomic forecasts are high. All of the above-mentioned are expressed in the following specific function:
where,
𝒊𝒕 - monetary policy rate
𝒊𝒕−𝟏 - lag of monetary policy rate
𝒊𝒕𝑵 - neutral monetary policy rate
𝝅𝟒𝒕+4 - inflation expectation
𝝅𝒕𝒂𝒓t+4 - inflation target
𝒚̂𝒕- output gap
𝜺𝒊t - monetary policy rate shock
𝜺𝒕𝒂𝒓t - shock stemming from the change in inflation target
Alongside the monetary policy reaction function, the basic macroeconomic model mainly consists of the aggregate demand, aggregate supply and uncovered interest rate parity equations.